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Safe and just Earth system boundaries

Rockstrm, J and Gupta, J and Qin, D and Lade, SJ and Abrams, JF and Andersen, LS and Armstrong McKay, DI and Bai, X and Bala, G and Bunn, SE and Ciobanu, D and DeClerck, F and Ebi, K and Gifford, L and Gordon, C and Hasan, S and Kanie, N and Lenton, TM and Loriani, S and Liverman, DM and Mohamed, A and Nakicenovic, N and Obura, D and Ospina, D and Prodani, K and Rammelt, C and Sakschewski, B and Scholtens, J and Stewart-Koster, B and Tharammal, T and van Vuuren, D and Verburg, PH and Winkelmann, R and Zimm, C and Bennett, EM and Bringezu, S and Broadgate, W and Green, PA and Huang, L and Jacobson, L and Ndehedehe, C and Pedde, S and Rocha, J and Scheffer, M and Schulte-Uebbing, L and de Vries, W and Xiao, C and Xu, C and Xu, X and Zafra-Calvo, N and Zhang, X (2023) Safe and just Earth system boundaries. In: Nature, 619 (7968). pp. 102-111.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06083-8

Abstract

The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked1�3, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently4,5. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice)4. The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are already exceeded. We propose that our assessment provides a quantitative foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people now and into the future. © 2023, The Author(s).

Item Type: Journal Article
Publication: Nature
Publisher: Nature Research
Additional Information: The copyright for this article belongs to authors.
Keywords: water, aerosol; atmospheric chemistry; biosphere; environmental justice; health and safety; literature review; nutrient cycling, aerosol; Article; atmospheric deposition; biosphere; climate; environmental aspects and related phenomena; environmental exposure; geology; justice; nutrient cycle; quantitative analysis; safety; astronomy; climate; climate change; human, Aerosols; Climate; Climate Change; Earth, Planet; Humans; Water
Department/Centre: Division of Interdisciplinary Sciences > Interdisciplinary Centre for Water Research
Division of Mechanical Sciences > Centre for Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences
Date Deposited: 26 Aug 2024 05:41
Last Modified: 26 Aug 2024 05:41
URI: http://eprints.iisc.ac.in/id/eprint/85564

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