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Second round statewide sentinel-based population survey for estimation of the burden of active infection and anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in the general population of Karnataka, India, during January-February 2021

Padma, MR and Dinesh, P and Sundaresan, R and Athreya, S and Shiju, S and Maroor, PS and Hande, RL and Akhtar, J and Chandra, T and Ravi, D and Lobo, E and Ana, Y and Shriyan, P and Desai, A and Rangaiah, A and Munivenkatappa, A and Krishna, S and Basawarajappa, SG and Sreedhara, HG and Siddesh, KC and Amrutha Kumari, B and Umar, N and Mythri, BA and Mythri, KM and Sudarshan, MK and Vasanthapuram, R and Babu, GR (2021) Second round statewide sentinel-based population survey for estimation of the burden of active infection and anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in the general population of Karnataka, India, during January-February 2021. In: IJID Regions, 1 . pp. 107-116.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2021.10.008

Abstract

Objective: Demonstrate the feasibility of using the existing sentinel surveillance infrastructure to conduct the second round of the serial cross-sectional sentinel-based population survey. Assess active infection, seroprevalence, and their evolution in the general population across Karnataka. Identify local variations for locally appropriate actions. Additionally, assess the clinical sensitivity of the testing kit used on account of variability of antibody levels in the population. Methods: The cross-sectional study of 41,228 participants across 290 healthcare facilities in all 30 districts of Karnataka was done among three groups of participants (low, moderate, and high-risk). The geographical spread was sufficient to capture local variations. Consenting participants were subjected to real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing, and antibody (IgG) testing. Clinical sensitivity was assessed by conducting a longitudinal study among participants identified as COVID-19 positive in the first survey round. Results: Overall weighted adjusted seroprevalence of IgG was 15.6% (95% CI: 14.9–16.3), crude IgG prevalence was 15.0% and crude active infection was 0.5%. Statewide infection fatality rate (IFR) was estimated as 0.11%, and COVID-19 burden estimated between 26.1 to 37.7% (at 90% confidence). Further, Cases-to-infections ratio (CIR) varied 3-35 across units and IFR varied 0.04–0.50% across units. Clinical sensitivity of the IgG ELISA test kit was estimated as ≥38.9%. Conclusion: We demonstrated the feasibility and simplicity of sentinel-based population survey in measuring variations in subnational and local data, useful for locally appropriate actions in different locations. The sentinel-based population survey thus helped identify districts that needed better testing, reporting, and clinical management. The state was far from attaining natural immunity during the survey and hence must step up vaccination coverage and enforce public health measures to prevent the spread of COVD-19.

Item Type: Journal Article
Publication: IJID Regions
Publisher: Elsevier Ltd
Additional Information: The copyright for this article belongs to the Authors.
Keywords: clinical sensitivity; Karnataka; SARS-CoV-2; sentinel survey; serosurvey
Department/Centre: Division of Electrical Sciences > Electrical Communication Engineering
Date Deposited: 21 Apr 2023 09:46
Last Modified: 21 Apr 2023 09:46
URI: https://eprints.iisc.ac.in/id/eprint/81348

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