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Predicting Solar Cycle 24 With a Solar Dynamo Model

Choudhuri, Arnab Rai and Chatterjee, Piyali and Jiang, Jie (2007) Predicting Solar Cycle 24 With a Solar Dynamo Model. In: Physical Review Letters, 98 (13). 131103: 1-4.

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Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by “feeding‿ observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21–23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle 23.

Item Type: Journal Article
Publication: Physical Review Letters
Publisher: American Physical Society
Additional Information: Copyright of this article belongs to American Physical Society.
Department/Centre: Division of Physical & Mathematical Sciences > Physics
Date Deposited: 22 Jun 2007
Last Modified: 19 Sep 2010 04:38
URI: http://eprints.iisc.ac.in/id/eprint/11070

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