Indian auto-mobility 2020: A Perceptive picture

Verma, Ashish and Velmurugan, S and Singh, Sanjay and Gurtoo, Anjula and Ramanayya, T V and Kambhampati, Raja (2016) Indian auto-mobility 2020: A Perceptive picture. In: 14th World Conference on Transport Research (WCTR), JUL 10-15, 2016, Tongji Univ Shanghai, Shanghai, PEOPLES R CHINA, pp. 4932-4945.

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Abstract

India is in a phase of economic transition as well as transport infrastructure development. Mobility in the country is becoming crucial for economic development but at the same time difficult with the rise in average income of Indians. Future shape of mobility needs to be predicted to help aide transportation planning and policy. In this paper the concept of delphi-method is applied to project the relative impact of various influencing factors on the future (2020) of mobility in India. The results of the projection are plotted as perception charts for visual comprehension of mobility indicators and are compared with statistical predictions. As perceived, the three mobility indicators passenger kilometre travelled/capita, vehicle kilometre travelled/capita and motor vehicles/1000 population are found to be very sensitive to fuel costs. Further factors like government policy are found to have a healthy influence over these indicators. (C) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.

Item Type:	Conference Proceedings
Series.:	Transportation Research Procedia
Additional Information:	Copyright for this article belongs to the ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, SARA BURGERHARTSTRAAT 25, PO BOX 211, 1000 AE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Department/Centre:	Division of Interdisciplinary Sciences > Center for Infrastructure, Sustainable Transportation and Urban Planning (CiSTUP) Division of Interdisciplinary Sciences > Management Studies Division of Mechanical Sciences > Civil Engineering
Date Deposited:	24 Aug 2017 04:07
Last Modified:	24 Aug 2017 04:07
URI:	http://eprints.iisc.ac.in/id/eprint/57650

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